January 11, 2010

Post-Mortem



Well, that was brutal. Although the wounds are still fresh, let's try to make lemonade out of Sunday's lemon-

In Our Front Pocket (Positives)



-25.70: The average age of a Green Bay Packers player going into this season, making them the youngest team in the NFL. (and most inexperienced, at a clip of 3.81 average years) This is the fourth consecutive year the Packers have held these two distinctions. Pending Thompson's personnel decisions (Kampman, Pickett, Clifton, Tauscher, Colledge), next year could be another step back. Although the nucleus is promising (Rodgers, Grant, Jennings, Finley, Matthews, Collins, Jenkins, Williams are all just entering or currently in their respective primes), can a team be expected to grow if they continue to get younger? I'm skeptical to say the least.

-Aaron Rodgers, Resident Festival: Not much needs to be said about Rodgers' performance this year. He set the franchise mark for passing yards, displayed versatility in leading QBs in rushing, played in two of the most highly-anticipated regular season games in NFL history, bucked the "anti-clutch" label by cobbling together several stirring late-game comebacks, made the playoffs, and cemented himself as the leader of the franchise, all while playing behind a sieve of an offensive line that threatened to send him the way of Joe Theismann. In his second year. We're in good hands.

-Leadership: While I'll admit to having previously led the anti-McCarthy/Thompson bandwagons, both have done an admirable job in the past year. Thompson and his scouting team expertly fitted last year's draft to Dom Capers' 3-4 scheme, getting excellent value in trading back into the first round for Pro Bowl OLB Clay Matthews and grabbing a key piece to the defensive puzzle with NT BJ Raji. Teddy also merits high marks for signing back veteran Mark Tauscher in the regular season to salvage the offensive line, and re-upping with half-Desi Brandon Chillar on the cheap. With a deep draft on the horizon and a better idea of the kind of defensive pawns the Packers have to work with, there's no reason to believe Thompson won't be able to continue building the team he ultimately envisions McCarthy leading- a championship one. From a coaching perspective, as McCarthy began to increasingly trust Rodgers with run-pass options from the line as the season wore on, the Packers had much more of a pulse. With Tom Clements returning to continue Rodgers' evolution from in-the-closet puss-arm to gigantic wang-wielding dong-thruster, and Capers back to continue the 3-4 project, Green Bay has the right people at the top.

-NFC North: As of today, it's very possible Minnesota will run the table and win the NFC. Still, the Vikings have a ton of question marks. Will Four be back? And if not, how will that affect one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL (Rice, Shiancoe, et al)? Is Bryant McKinnie's Barbre-esque blocking in the latter quarter of the season a permanent concern? What's the status of Percy Harvin's chronic migraines? How effective will EJ Henderson be manning the inside next year coming off reconstructive knee surgery? Minnesota could very well be in line for a drop-off. Chicago has no draft picks this year to supplement Jay Cutler. It's tough to imagine a new offensive coordinator (who would be the Bears' third choice, or worse), defensive coordinator, plus the return of Brian Urlacher equaling the four- or five-game improvement likely to be required to win the division next year. (Of course, I said the same thing about the Packers after last year) Long term, Detroit could be dangerous several years down the road with the Stafford-to-Megatron connection, but right now they have more holes to fill than a Murn-Lawn-Drunk Whoooore threesome. Green Bay should go into next season as a consensus favorite to reclaim their playoff spot, and at least challenge Minnesota for the division title.

Shopping List!



-Offensive Tackle: Mark Tauscher and Chad Clifton valiantly anchored the edges on James Campen's bend-but-don't-break line, but with both turning 33 before next season's onset, there's little doubt that in order to preserve the health of their franchise quarterback, Thompson's biggest offseason need is to make an immediate impact in free agency or early in the draft to supplement or supplant the aging duo. TJ Lang showed flashes, and Breno Giacomini has been a project forever, but it's time to give Rodgers the protection he needs to realize his potential as an elite QB in the NFL.

-Strong Safety:

My, oh my, does Atari Bigby suck. Not enough is made of the problems the Packers had from their deep coverage personnel. An instinctive, heady safety with speed to compensate when Green Bay's physical corners are beat would do wonders as a complement to Nick Collins' hard-nosed, ballhawking style.

-Pass Rush: Too often, Dom Capers had to dial up complex blitz packages to overcome the fact that Green Bay's only pure pass rush threat is Clay Matthews. Nick Barnett was nothing short of heroic this year, but he isn't getting any younger in the middle, and who knows how his battle-ravaged body will hold up in 2010. AJ Hawk progressed, to only slightly below average, but is still a colossal liability in coverage and is slow as molasses. Brandon Chillar is solid in coverage but lacks consistency and athleticism in the run game and as a pass rush threat. Brad Jones is raw and may be too slight of frame to ever be enough of a threat to start in the NFL. Aaron Kampman effectively whined his way out of town. In order to give Capers the flexibility necessary to truly maximize the effectiveness of the 3-4, the Packers must make a front-five pass rusher a priority this offseason.

-Cornerback: Al Harris, Pat Lee and Will Blackmon will all (presumably) return from injury by training camp, but the latter two have proven nothing in terms of legitimacy to be a starting corner in the future. Lee was drafted to contribute from Day One, but has never played a meaningful snap, while Blackmon has the athleticism to star but has not taken advantage of his limited opportunities. Harris and Defensive Player of the Year Charles Woodson will likely start next year, with Tramon Williams serving as an adequate, but not shutdown, corner to step in if necessary. Thompson and Co. need to have an eye to both the immediate and long-term future- a playmaking corner with the ability to return kicks, and potentially serve in the dime in the upcoming season, should be atop the Packers' draft needs list.

-Playmaker: Ryan Grant somehow flipped the switch from lackadaisical plodder to explosive cog in the season's final few games. Still, it'd be nice to get a versatile RB/WR/return man that adds a big play dimension to Green Bay's offense and cellar-dwelling special teams, perhaps in the mold of a Dexter McCluster, Jahvid Best, Noel Devine, or Golden Tate.

No comments:

Post a Comment