April 16, 2010

AVOID



I've come to the realization that there are a lot of good players in this draft. I could convince myself to like almost any player Ted Thompson rolls the dice on.

Almost.

Here is a list of 5 players whose names have been linked to Green Bay's 23rd overall pick, all of whom would likely result in the flinging/shattering of objects if the Packers should draft them.

5. Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland: Campbell will elicit the least sour reaction from me of the players on this list, if only because I'm hedging my bets and believe there's a decent chance that we'll end up with him. The definition of "workout warrior", Campbell will not be ready to start on the O-line for at least one season. He has great tools, and perhaps learning behind Clifton and Tauscher would be a perfect situation for him to flourish, but Packer fans should feel they are close enough to being a true contender that they need a viable rookie contributor with their first pick. Campbell does not fit the bill.

4. Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State: He qualifies as a potential Packer pick by surpassing the Thompson 5'10" minimum for CBs, and does have first round value. Still, there are at least 5 corners I'd rather have (Haden, Wilson, McCourty, Owusu-Ansah, Jackson). Robinson does a terrible job of flipping his hips in coverage, and thus is liable to get burnt on double moves. He's athletic, but not physical, which does not bode well for the pressing/blitzing style Dom Capers likes. The cornerback position is also very deep in this draft, so taking one at 23 does not make much sense, when you can get an equal talent in the 2nd, and perhaps even 3rd, round.

3. Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech: Dwyer is a punishing, workhorse-style back. Ryan Grant is a punishing, workhorse-style back. You do not spend a first-round pick on a player when you have the better version of the same player on your roster.

2. Jared Veldheer, OT, Hillsdale: Fear the Veldheer. I've been nervous about this fit since the Senior Bowl. Veldheer worries me because Ted Thompson and the Packers scouting department have much bigger egos than any of us give them credit for. He represents my "Justin Harrell Memorial Reach Pick of the Draft"-- Thompson taking a guy he could easily get a round later, but making sure he grabs the prospect even if it costs him much more than the player's value. This isn't a knock against Veldheer, who shows potential on tape to anchor the blindside; it's more of a value concern.

1. Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State: TT took an NT in the first round last year in BJ Raji (which Odrick is too small to play, anyways), and the Packers are relatively set at DE with Cullen Jenkins, oft-arrested Johnny Jolly, Raji, Jarius Wynn, and Justin Harrell (just kidding). Also, it's well-known that the DE spot is far and away the least important position in the 3-4. NO MEANS NO, TEDDY.

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